2026年美國參議院選舉(初選+大選) - 香港高登
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大俠2047
引用
17/05/2026 23:44
https://upload.hkgolden.media/comment/idrmir0r.rxpxctjt3xg.itp2lz0ttcj.mih.png

反特朗普 參議員

一下退休, 留得低, 得2個

算重要

lisa murkowski 是傾得店數, 同JOHN THUNE

最後跟大隊投
大俠2047
引用
18/05/2026 06:28
大而美法案, 上年過左

lisa murkowski 幫特朗普投了關鍵一票

因為JOHN THUNE 捉左 lisa murkowski 傾計

希望佢幫手過, lisa murkowski 非常艱難地投了支持票

投完俾 黨友RAND PAUL 鬧 佢出賣選民

lisa murkowski 投下關鍵一票


https://money.nomurafunds.com.tw/wp-content/uploads/202507090154538.png

https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/EElZne1Ptfi41PM4q.yXgA--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTI0MDA7aD0xMzUwO2NmPXdlYnA-/https://media.zenfs.com/en/thedailybeast.com/335c9cc377bfa843d4ae2de6b8579650
Alaska Senator Lisa Murkowski criticized President Donald Trump’s megabill just moments after delivering the key vote to pass the legislation in the Senate.

The president’s so-called One Big Beautiful Bill Act passed in the Senate 51 to 50 on Tuesday, with Vice President J.D. Vance breaking the tie.

Murkowski was one of the Republican holdouts who voted “yes” on the legislation after GOP Senate leaders scrambled to make a series of changes to the bill to ease her concerns over its impact on health care and food assistance cuts in her state.

The Alaska lawmaker called the vote “agonizing” but told reporters who swarmed around her after she cast it for the legislation that the work was far from over.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/gop-senator-blasts-trump-bill-184219649.html
大俠2047
引用
18/05/2026 06:28
你是共和黨控制參議院 在JOHN THUNE 領導下

好多野有得傾

https://media.cnn.com/api/v1/images/stellar/prod/2025-07-01t083411z-1202001598-rc2kdfajba25-rtrmadp-3-usa-congress-tax.JPG?c=original&q=w_860,c_fill
大俠2047
引用
18/05/2026 06:30
特朗普的成功, 就係觸動到人的憤怒

你同特朗普玩

一定要 無視特朗普

唔好 同特朗普嘈

一嘈, 之後左媒, KOL 就 為了流量, 煲大佢

最後 幫了特朗普

特朗普2016, 2020,2024

都係玩此套

唔係疫情, 2020年 應該連任到

好多人 之後玩此套, 玩制做敵人攻擊自己

令自己人氣急升
大俠2047
引用
18/05/2026 06:34
https://images.wsj.net/im-99639079?width=620&height=413

4個參議員, 成日玩野, 攪特朗普的議案

但mitch mcconnell 左二準備退下來

lisa murkowski 左一, 多數跟大隊

susan collins 右一 黎 緊 深藍洲maine 競選連任, 特朗普的野都會ban
大俠2047
引用
18/05/2026 06:36
rand paul 玩做戲, 總之特朗普的野都會反

一路反, 但大前提, 如果攪到過唔到 就唔會反

最後都會令 共和黨議案過到

因為想選總統, 又不想得罪 太多人

玩法就係53 對47, 共和黨可以有3票走棧

自己就做黨內紅隊, 總之 特朗普大部份野都反

但投票, 9成跟共和黨, 爭議性, 議案 投反對, 但大前提, 是令議案仍通過

大家都係演員, 國會就似荷里活

大家都有 角色, 做乜

大局 已定
大俠2047
引用
18/05/2026 06:42
rand paul 做反駁隊

總之逢 特朗普 的野, 8, 9成都反

有時和應

投票9成都係支持


但反時,最大聲
大俠2047
引用
18/05/2026 06:46
KY 投提早投票, 的人多

GA 提早投票的人多, 但民主黨多, 共和黨 較少

但共和黨建制投票的人多不少

MAGA 的共和黨 則大減, 減3-5成

AI, 或其他報紙 吹 GA 5月19日 初選投票日

MAGA 死忠就會出來

我個人不相信

我相信, MAGA 失去熱情

因為我是比較同一時段

2022年同一時段 同 2026年提早投票同一時段


Yes, Whitfield County is a deeply conservative, strongly Republican stronghold that is firmly aligned with the MAGA movement.

It is a core part of Georgia's 14th Congressional District, one of the most Republican-leaning areas in the United States, and consistently returns massive margins for conservative candidates.

https://upload.hkgolden.media/comment/zaiaz4h3.4lnmivsm5z1.3md1hpy4s4q.itd.png
大俠2047
引用
18/05/2026 06:49
Whitfield County 人口算多

2022年成萬人出來共和黨初選

1. 市民失去熱情

2. 市民對2個MAGA 洲長侯選人失望 , 日日廣告抹黑

市民 對2個MAGA 參議員 侯選人不熟

3. 特朗普沒有親身來GA

4. 貿易戰, 關稅 影響了生活, 油價高企, 日日出街見到油價高

怨特朗普, 以不投票 作內心的反抗
大俠2047
引用
18/05/2026 06:55
https://upload.hkgolden.media/comment/bgly4z3h.dfyahktuv5v.stzcmgcdk0a.mhw.png
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Whitfield County 在2022年,是排第25 既COUNTY 投票人數

159個COUNTY , 排第25
大俠2047
引用
18/05/2026 07:00
Whitfield County GA 是特朗普MAGA 的地盤

提早投票率 2022年 得返6成唔夠

我預測, 各地的MAGA 2022年初選都會少

獨立選民趁MAGA 減少, 沖出來投票反抗
大俠2047
引用
18/05/2026 07:02
所以RICK JACKSON 同 BURT JONES

MIKE COLLINS , BUDDY CARTER 老貓燒蘇

整體MAGA , 2個侯選人 我估 45-55% 加埋

分左票後

DEREK DOOLEY 參議員可以直接50% PLUS

brad raffensperger 洲長參選 40% PLUS
大俠2047
引用
18/05/2026 07:07
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MAGA = 34%

美國優先> MAGA = 21.9%, 你當一半是MAGA

34+ 11% = 45%= MAGA

45%, 有一半, 無法原諒 brad raffensperger
大俠2047
引用
18/05/2026 07:09
無法原談 brad raffensperger 的共和黨人, 大概20%

但請問20% 點計出來?

這是我工作, 興趣, 計出來
大俠2047
引用
18/05/2026 07:10
https://dims.apnews.com/dims4/default/648ac41/2147483647/strip/true/crop/3000x2000+0+0/resize/979x653!/format/webp/quality/90/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fassets.apnews.com%2Fba%2F97%2Ff86bf25e5d99f82a434f21618038%2F009a1e24dd5249bea1a9e670ccd14b0d

Brad Raffensperger became famous by defying Trump. Now he wants Georgia Republicans to forget that

CHAMBLEE, Ga. (AP) — Being as well known as Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger would be a dream for many ambitious politicians.

“I think most people by now know who I am,” the Republican candidate for governor joked Tuesday as someone put up signs with his name before a speech in the Atlanta suburb of Chamblee.

But that fame may wound Raffensperger in next Tuesday’s primary because it stems from opposing Donald Trump’s attempts to overturn Joe Biden’s presidential victory in 2020. He was one of a few Georgia leaders who earned Trump’s scorn by rejecting his falsehoods, and even though Raffensperger won reelection in 2022, many Republicans still view him as a traitor.

Now the 70-year-old is spending millions of his own money trying to reintroduce himself as t

https://apnews.com/article/raffensperger-republican-governor-georgia-trump-jones-jackson-bb19d7bc9e36153577895511a095fd5f
大俠2047
引用
18/05/2026 07:14
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https://upload.hkgolden.media/comment/ounebj2e.5hab5wzqyrt.0srrp0a3fg5.ks1.png

我係用2022年初選

BRIAN KEMP 有73%票

brad raffensperger 有52%

即係大家 在同一票站

有21% 左右的票, 是投BRIAN KEMP , 不投brad raffensperger

此批就係 永不原諒brad raffensperger 的共和黨人
大俠2047
引用
18/05/2026 07:38
brad raffensperger 團隊, 估計, 黨內, 有20% 反自己

但大選 , 多數都會投返佢

但初選要贏

在80% 個度爭

要爭50% 非常困難

但我估有機會的

20% 去左RICK JACKSON 同BURT JONES

再加其他 美國優先

BRAD 要拿30% 以上應該唔難

第一 , 唔敢說, 我認為可以

但POLL 說 BRAD 會輸

但我信念是BRAD 會贏

且WIN BIG
大俠2047
引用
18/05/2026 07:58
brad raffensperger  是一個好特別的人

是不須要特朗普支持下 選

挑戰特朗普的愛將

之後做返自己, 嘗試打動大部份選民

即係民主黨人

民主黨人, 都服左 的人

世界上很少這種人

好多人吹brad raffensperger

這種人, 世界上絕無僅有, 且市民沉默

不願表態 , 沉默的人,最好將brad raffensperger

贏初選, 且贏埋洲長大選

不單贏, 仲大贏, win big
大俠2047
引用
18/05/2026 07:58
Keisha Lance Bottoms’ lead is making some Georgia Democrats uneasy

Georgia Democrats are worried their front-runner will fumble a “once in a generation” chance to win the governor’s mansion this year.

Keisha Lance Bottoms has what should be an enviable résumé: former judge, city council member, mayor of Atlanta and senior White House adviser. She’s dominating public polling in the primary, bolstered by high name recognition in the Atlanta metro area.


00:02

02:00
Read More

But a third of the Democratic electorate remains undecided, and her most high-profile endorsement is from former President Joe Biden, who left office deeply unpopular among Americans.



The wariness from Georgia Democrats stems from a simmering concern about Bottoms’ ability to win a general election, conversations with more than a half-dozen strategists and officials revealed. They warn that the crown jewel of Bottoms’ work experience — leading the state’s biggest city — will be a major drag to her campaign. Her tenure was marked by turmoil as Atlanta, like other major cities at the time, grappled with the onset of the pandemic, social unrest and spikes in crime.

Now, they worry, Bottoms could upend their best opportunity to flip the governorship for the first time in two decades.

“Keisha, because she’s so strongly identified with the city of Atlanta, obviously faces a very high hurdle,” said Howard Franklin, a Georgia-based Democratic strategist who is backing one of Bottoms’ competitors, former state Sen. Jason Esteves, and whose firm has performed contract work for his campaign. “I don’t think there’s anybody who’s paying attention to this race who thinks that Republicans are anything less than prepared to criticize and to pile on to the criticism of the four years that she was in office.”

The Democrats interviewed, some of whom were granted anonymity to speak openly about the primary, fear her record will be easily caricatured by Republicans in the general election, leaving her vulnerable to attacks on issues like public safety.
大俠2047
引用
18/05/2026 07:59
“The Republicans will eat her for lunch. The Republicans are begging us to nominate her,” said one longtime Democratic strategist unaffiliated in the race. “If she’s at the top of the ticket, the whole ticket loses. If she’s not … we can sweep it. The stakes are that high.”

TaNisha Cameron, a spokesperson for Bottoms’ campaign, dismissed the concerns as political hand-wringing and said the Democrat is focused on “standing up to Donald Trump’s candidate for governor.”

“Political insiders have underestimated Keisha Lance Bottoms her entire career, and she has constantly proven them wrong by winning elections and beating their hand-picked candidates. Keisha is leading in the polls in both the primary and general election because voters like her vision for Georgia’s future and her record of delivering for the people of Atlanta,” Cameron said in a statement, going on to highlight how Bottoms attracted nine Fortune 500 companies to Atlanta while in office and left the city with a $180 million budget surplus.

Central to Bottoms’ pitch to voters is a pledge to expand Medicaid in Georgia and guarantee universal pre-K statewide. In mid-May, just a few weeks after the Supreme Court significantly limited the power of the Voting Rights Act, Bottoms released a comprehensive plan to protect access to the ballot in Georgia.

This could be the Democratic Party’s last shot in a generation to grasp all the levers of political power in Georgia. Republican Gov. Brian Kemp is set to redraw the state’s congressional and state legislative districts ahead of 2028. And as President Donald Trump revives personal grievances about the 2020 election, the leading GOP gubernatorial candidates are vocal election deniers who continue to sow doubt about Georgia’s voting systems in a state that will be central to the 2028 presidential race.

https://www.politico.com/news/2026/05/15/keisha-lance-bottoms-georgia-governor-democrats-00922677
大俠2047
引用
18/05/2026 08:02
https://d3i6fh83elv35t.cloudfront.net/static/2023/01/2023-01-13T183005Z_25639487_RC2UPY9VKMU0_RTRMADP_3_USA-BIDEN-1024x683.jpg



Keisha Lance Bottoms 在拜登支持下 選

這會影響 到jon ossoff

jon ossoff形勢大好

brad braffensperger 贏初選

會將Keisha Lance Bottoms 同極左 掛勾

治安, 極左 的立場影響 ga 的穩定

brian kemp 會引導Keisha Lance Bottoms 同jon ossoff

一齊攻擊, 佢地一隊人

從而幫derek dooley
大俠2047
引用
18/05/2026 08:57
https://media.newyorker.com/photos/67e2bfb7ea48c73bef61b430/1:1/w_2435,h_2435,c_limit/r45807.jpg

左一, 就係福布斯 記者


https://media.cnn.com/api/v1/images/stellar/prod/2025-07-01t083411z-1202001598-rc2kdfajba25-rtrmadp-3-usa-congress-tax.JPG?c=original&q=w_860,c_fill

JOHN THUNE 插袋幾型

JOHN THUNE 極其中立

且 對美國人 有利的野, 會幫特朗普

但有問題的, 未必幫
大俠2047
引用
18/05/2026 08:59
我將公司野, 今天做晒去

明天返早上

明天下午 同晚上, 可以休息

星期三, 一齊點票

KY 同GA 初選

5月19日 美國時間7點PM, 投完

之後, 會先開大城市提早投票 4月27-5月15日的票
大俠2047
引用
18/05/2026 09:01
特朗普在GA 極克制

我估計, 特朗普也知, 得BRAD 可以贏到11月大選洲長

所以,無再批評 BRAD

同埋無來GA 助選

等BRAD 有贏的機會

同埋DEREK DOOLEY

是上年8月, BRIAN KEMP 同特朗普起白宮 見面時,

確認2人合作
大俠2047
引用
18/05/2026 09:03
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GA洲長



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GA 參議員
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